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Vitoria ES vs Colatina SE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Campeonato Capixaba 2012
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2012 game between Vitoria ES and Colatina SE finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitoria ES.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vitoria ES
20%
Draws
40%
Colatina SE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Colatina SE haven't matched Vitoria ES's recent run of results.
  • Vitoria ES are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Vitoria ES Clean Sheet 20%
Colatina SE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria ES Colatina SE
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.73 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.95 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2014 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Colatina SE
4:0
Feb 12, 2014 Capixaba
Colatina SE vs Vitoria ES
1:2
Mar 17, 2012 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Colatina SE
2:1
Feb 4, 2012 Capixaba
Colatina SE vs Vitoria ES
1:0
Apr 4, 2011 Capixaba
Colatina SE vs Vitoria ES
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria ES 49 / 100
Colatina SE 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria ES Colatina SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria ES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria ES found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (40 games).

Defensive concern: Colatina SE conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vitoria ES stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria ES VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria ES

(Home)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
27 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 0
Vitoria ES
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
20 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Betim FC
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
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Colatina SE

(Away)
10 May
Colatina SE
2 : 5
Linhares Futebol Clube
05 May
Estrela do Norte
3 : 0
Colatina SE
26 Apr
Colatina SE
4 : 2
Real Noroeste
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
14 Apr
Colatina SE
0 : 0
Desportiva Ferroviaria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 18 10 3 5 36:23 33
2 Aracruz 18 9 6 3 28:20 33
3 Vitoria ES 18 9 4 5 23:15 31
4 Conilon 18 8 6 4 40:23 30
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 9 3 6 27:19 30
6 SAO Mateus 18 8 2 8 17:23 26
7 Real Noroeste 18 6 4 8 21:23 22
8 Galatas 18 5 3 10 15:26 18
9 Colatina SE 18 3 8 7 21:27 17
10 Serra 18 3 1 14 20:49 10
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2012 (Play Offs)