Sport Picks
Vitoria ES vs Rio Branco-VN - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Espirito Santo Estádio Salvador Venâncio da Costa, Vitoria 
Match Events
77'
77'
Patrick Carvalho
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Branco-VN
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vitoria ES have won more games recently than Rio Branco-VN.
- Win probability leans Rio Branco-VN's way, sitting at 50%.
- Vitoria ES have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Rio Branco-VN, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Vitoria ES Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Branco-VN Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vitoria ES | Rio Branco-VN |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 1, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Vitoria ES vs Rio Branco-VN
0:1
Jun 6, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Vitoria ES vs Rio Branco-VN
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Rio Branco-VN
3:0
Jun 14, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Vitoria ES vs Rio Branco-VN
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Capixaba
Rio Branco-VN vs Vitoria ES
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vitoria ES Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Rio Branco-VN Compare
Top Goalscorer Patrick Carvalho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vitoria ES 24 / 100
Rio Branco-VN 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vitoria ES Rio Branco-VN
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rio Branco-VN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vitoria ES found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Rio Branco-VN's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Vitoria ES remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Vitoria ES VS Rio Branco-VN
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vitoria ES
(Home) 01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1 Rio Branco-VN
27 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 0 Vitoria ES
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0 Vilavelhense
20 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0 Betim FC
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2 Vitoria ES
Page 1 of 6
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1 Rio Branco-VN
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0 Vilavelhense
20 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0 Betim FC
06 Jun
Vitoria ES
0 : 1 Rio Branco-VN
30 May
Vitoria ES
1 : 1 Real Noroeste
Page 1 of 4
Rio Branco-VN
(Away) 01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1 Rio Branco-VN
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3 Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0 Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Vitoria ES
0 : 1 Rio Branco-VN
31 May
Sport-ES
0 : 2 Rio Branco-VN
Page 1 of 6
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1 Rio Branco-VN
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3 Rio Branco-VN
06 Jun
Vitoria ES
0 : 1 Rio Branco-VN
31 May
Sport-ES
0 : 2 Rio Branco-VN
17 May
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 0 Rio Branco-VN
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto Vitoria | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Vitoria ES | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Rio Branco-VN | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 13 |
| 5 | Rio Branco ES | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Sport-ES | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 6 |
| 7 | Serra | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Audax Sao Mateus | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs)
