Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria ES vs Rio Branco-VN

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo Estadio Kleber Andrade, Cariacica
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Patrick Carvalho

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Vitoria ES
20%
Draws
52%
Rio Branco-VN
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Branco-VN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vitoria ES come out ahead of Rio Branco-VN on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rio Branco-VN a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Vitoria ES have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rio Branco-VN, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Vitoria ES Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Branco-VN Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria ES Rio Branco-VN
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 20 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.76 1
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Vitoria ES vs Rio Branco-VN
0:1
Jun 6, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Vitoria ES vs Rio Branco-VN
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Rio Branco-VN
3:0
Jun 14, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Vitoria ES vs Rio Branco-VN
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Capixaba
Rio Branco-VN vs Vitoria ES
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria ES Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Rio Branco-VN Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick Carvalho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria ES 24 / 100
Rio Branco-VN 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria ES Rio Branco-VN

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco-VN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitoria ES scored in 76% of their last 37 outings.

Rio Branco-VN's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vitoria ES remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria ES VS Rio Branco-VN
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria ES

(Home)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
27 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 0
Vitoria ES
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
20 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Betim FC
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
Page 1 of 8

Rio Branco-VN

(Away)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
31 May
Sport-ES
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vitoria ES 3
Vilavelhense 2
Porto Vitoria 3
Rio Branco-VN 4
Final
Vitoria ES 0
Rio Branco-VN 1