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Vitoria Guimaraes B vs GD Joane - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Vitoria Guimaraes B Logo

Vitoria Guimaraes B

3 - 2
FT
GD Joane Logo

GD Joane

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Carneiro R.
17' Event
Yuk J.
23' Event
Vaz M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 game between Vitoria Guimaraes B and GD Joane finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitoria Guimaraes B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vitoria Guimaraes B
30%
Draws
31%
GD Joane
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vitoria Guimaraes B come out ahead of GD Joane on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vitoria Guimaraes B's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Vitoria Guimaraes B have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Vitoria Guimaraes B Clean Sheet 68%
GD Joane Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes B GD Joane
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.32 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs GD Joane
3:2
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Joane vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
0:1
Dec 1, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Joane vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
3:1
Sep 8, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs GD Joane
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Guimaraes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaz M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yuk J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

GD Joane Compare

Top Goalscorer Carneiro R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes B 59 / 100
GD Joane 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes B GD Joane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Guimaraes B scored in 81% of their last 37 games.

GD Joane let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Vitoria Guimaraes B has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes B VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Guimaraes B

(Home)
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0
Trofense
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
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GD Joane

(Away)
13 Apr
Brito
2 : 1
GD Joane
06 Apr
GD Joane
0 : 3
GD Braganca
29 Mar
Vitoria Guimaraes B
3 : 2
GD Joane
16 Mar
GD Joane
2 : 1
Rebordosa
08 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 0
GD Joane
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)