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Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Chaves U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Venancio R.
67' Event
Costa P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
30%
Draws
37%
Chaves U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chaves U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria Guimaraes U19 lately — more wins on the board than Chaves U19.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Clean Sheet 12%
Chaves U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Chaves U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.39 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
2:1
Feb 7, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Chaves U19
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Chaves U19
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Chaves U19
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Venancio R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Chaves U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 29 / 100
Chaves U19 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Chaves U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitoria Guimaraes U19 scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Chaves U19 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vitoria Guimaraes U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 VS Chaves U19
1.75 Goals Scored 1.29
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Guimaraes U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 2
Braga U19
12 Sept
Rio Ave U19
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 0
FC Porto U19
22 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 1
Famalicao U19
15 Aug
Moreirense U19
1 : 2
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
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Chaves U19

(Away)
25 Apr
Chaves U19
0 : 0
Moreirense U19
11 Apr
Braga U19
4 : 2
Chaves U19
03 Apr
Chaves U19
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
14 Mar
Chaves U19
3 : 2
Pacos Ferreira U19
07 Mar
Vizela U19
2 : 2
Chaves U19
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