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Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Gondomar U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria Guimaraes U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
15%
Draws
36%
Gondomar U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Vitoria Guimaraes U19 have won more games recently than Gondomar U19.
  • Model gives Vitoria Guimaraes U19 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Vitoria Guimaraes U19 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Gondomar U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Gondomar U19
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.71 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gondomar U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1:4
Mar 4, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Gondomar U19
2:0
Dec 17, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Gondomar U19
2:1
Sep 17, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gondomar U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 41 / 100
Gondomar U19 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Gondomar U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 scored in 87% of their last 38 games.

Defensive concern: Gondomar U19 conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Gondomar U19's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Guimaraes U19

(Home)
26 Sept
Famalicao U19
3 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 2
Braga U19
12 Sept
Rio Ave U19
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 0
FC Porto U19
22 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 1
Famalicao U19
Page 1 of 8

Gondomar U19

(Away)
27 May
Gondomar U19
0 : 1
Rio Ave U19
20 May
Anadia U19
0 : 4
Gondomar U19
13 May
Gil Vicente U19
5 : 4
Gondomar U19
07 May
Gondomar U19
1 : 4
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
29 Apr
Tondela U19
3 : 1
Gondomar U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 22 12 7 3 42:23 43
2 Vizela U19 22 12 6 4 51:32 42
3 Famalicao U19 22 11 8 3 38:22 41
4 Braga U19 22 11 6 5 38:28 39
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 22 11 5 6 43:37 38
6 Gil Vicente U19 22 9 4 9 42:38 31
7 Pacos Ferreira U19 22 8 6 8 41:45 30
8 Gondomar U19 22 9 2 11 29:38 29
9 Boavista U19 22 8 4 10 27:31 28
10 Rio Ave U19 22 7 5 10 22:28 26
11 Tondela U19 22 3 5 14 17:37 14
12 Anadia U19 22 0 4 18 23:54 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 22 15 3 4 69:29 48
2 Sporting CP U19 22 14 5 3 40:16 47
3 Alverca U19 22 12 6 4 43:36 42
4 Estoril U19 22 10 5 7 28:35 35
5 Academica U19 22 10 5 7 32:29 35
6 Belenenses U19 22 9 7 6 32:23 34
7 Torreense U19 22 8 4 10 31:34 28
8 Maritimo U19 22 5 7 10 19:33 22
9 Casa Pia U19 22 6 3 13 22:46 21
10 Nacional U19 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Vitoria Setubal U19 22 5 5 12 28:36 20
12 Vilafranquense U19 22 3 5 14 19:33 14
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)