Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Moreirense U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Pinto M.
Own Goal
20' Event
Sousa A.
43'
Marques A.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Vitoria Guimaraes U19 and Moreirense U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
20%
Draws
40%
Moreirense U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Vitoria Guimaraes U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vitoria Guimaraes U19 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Moreirense U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Moreirense U19
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Moreirense U19
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Moreirense U19
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Moreirense U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 50 / 100
Moreirense U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Moreirense U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Guimaraes U19's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Moreirense U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 VS Moreirense U19
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Guimaraes U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 2
Braga U19
12 Sept
Rio Ave U19
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 0
FC Porto U19
22 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 1
Famalicao U19
15 Aug
Moreirense U19
1 : 2
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
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Moreirense U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 1
Gil Vicente U19
12 Sept
Braga U19
0 : 1
Moreirense U19
06 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 0
Rio Ave U19
29 Aug
Moreirense U19
2 : 3
Famalicao U19
22 Aug
FC Porto U19
3 : 1
Moreirense U19
Page 1 of 7