Sport Picks

Vitoria Guimaraes vs BSAD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal

League Cup 2022/2023 Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães

Vitoria Guimaraes

2 - 2

BSAD

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Anderson

Assist: Johnston M.

30'

Danny Henriques

33'

Silva T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Vitoria Guimaraes

35%

Draws

35%

BSAD

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Vitoria Guimaraes lately — more wins on the board than BSAD.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
Vitoria Guimaraes have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor BSAD, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 20%

BSAD Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vitoria Guimaraes	BSAD
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	10	9
Draws	7	9
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	1.37	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.15	1.47
Expected Goals (xG)	1.42	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2022 League Cup

Vitoria Guimaraes vs BSAD

2:2

Feb 13, 2022 Liga Portugal

BSAD vs Vitoria Guimaraes

1:0

Sep 12, 2021 Liga Portugal

Vitoria Guimaraes vs BSAD

0:0

Feb 8, 2021 Liga Portugal

BSAD vs Vitoria Guimaraes

1:1

Sep 18, 2020 Liga Portugal

Vitoria Guimaraes vs BSAD

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Guimaraes Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson

1 Goals

Assists Leader Silva J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.09

Avg xA / game 0.71

BSAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Danny Henriques

1 Goals

Assists Leader Chico Teixeira

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes 36 / 100

BSAD 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vitoria Guimaraes BSAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BSAD Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Guimaraes's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

BSAD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Vitoria Guimaraes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes VS -

1.63 Goals Scored 0

0.5 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Guimaraes

(Home)

25 Sept

Chaves

0 : 1

Vitoria Guimaraes

20 Sept

Vitoria Guimaraes

1 : 1

Moreirense

12 Sept

Academico Viseu

2 : 1

Vitoria Guimaraes

06 Sept

Vitoria Guimaraes

0 : 0

Casa Pia

31 Aug

Braga

1 : 0

Vitoria Guimaraes

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BSAD

(Away)

11 Jun

BSAD

0 : 1

Vilaverdense FC

03 Jun

Vilaverdense FC

1 : 1

BSAD

28 May

Vilafranquense

1 : 1

BSAD

20 May

BSAD

2 : 1

Oliveirense

13 May

BSAD

2 : 2

Mafra

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