Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Tomar

Portugal Portugal

Primeira Liga 1975/1976
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primeira Liga 1975/1976 game between Vitoria Guimaraes and Tomar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitoria Guimaraes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Vitoria Guimaraes
15%
Draws
36%
Tomar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vitoria Guimaraes come out ahead of Tomar on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vitoria Guimaraes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primeira Liga 1975/1976 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 20%
Tomar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes Tomar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 1.5 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 1976 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Vitoria Guimaraes
3:0
Dec 28, 1975 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Tomar
3:1
Mar 30, 1975 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Vitoria Guimaraes
3:2
Dec 8, 1974 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Tomar
0:0
Apr 1, 1973 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Vitoria Guimaraes
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes 85 / 100
Tomar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes Tomar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomar let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Vitoria Guimaraes found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Tomar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Guimaraes

(Home)
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0
Casa Pia
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes
23 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 0
Nacional
14 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 2
Vitoria Guimaraes
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Tomar

(Away)
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Tomar
0 : 2
Sertanense
09 Mar
Tomar
1 : 0
Alverca B
03 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Tomar
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