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Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Famalicao W

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal Women
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Brasil S.
Assist: Teixeira P.
41' Event
Marques V.
Assist: Turrentine J.
52' Event
Teixeira S.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Vitoria Guimaraes W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vitoria Guimaraes W
39%
Draws
30%
Famalicao W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Famalicao W come out ahead of Vitoria Guimaraes W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Famalicao W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Famalicao W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • Famalicao W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Vitoria Guimaraes W Clean Sheet 20%
Famalicao W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes W Famalicao W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 3
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Taça de Portugal Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Famalicao W
3:0
Jun 2, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Famalicao W
1:2
May 25, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Famalicao W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Guimaraes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brasil S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marques V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Famalicao W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes W 32 / 100
Famalicao W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes W Famalicao W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Vitoria Guimaraes W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Famalicao W conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Vitoria Guimaraes W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes W VS Famalicao W
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Guimaraes W

(Home)
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
02 May
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 0
Torreense W
25 Apr
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
03 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
28 Mar
Damaiense W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
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Famalicao W

(Away)
17 Jan
Vitoria Guimaraes W
3 : 0
Famalicao W
13 Dec
C.F. Benfica W
1 : 2
Famalicao W
07 Jun
Rio Ave W
0 : 0
Famalicao W
25 May
Famalicao W
0 : 1
Rio Ave W
11 May
Racing Power W
0 : 2
Famalicao W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Braga W1
Sporting W0
Feirense W0
Rio Ave W5
Torreense W9
Leiria W1
Damaiense W0
SL Benfica W2
Gil Vicente W1
Vitoria Guimaraes W3
C.F. Benfica W1
Famalicao W2
Maritimo W2
Valadares Gaia W0
FC Porto W3
Ponte de Vagos W0
Quarter-finals
Braga W2
Rio Ave W1
Torreense W2
SL Benfica W3
Vitoria Guimaraes W3
Famalicao W0
Maritimo W1
FC Porto W2
Semi-finals
Braga W1
SL Benfica W5
Vitoria Guimaraes W2
FC Porto W3
Final
SL Benfica W2
FC Porto W0