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Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Leiria W

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal Women 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Lopes I.
17' Event
Lopes I.
43' Event
Ribeiro M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-0, with Vitoria Guimaraes W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vitoria Guimaraes W
6%
Draws
4%
Leiria W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Leiria W haven't matched Vitoria Guimaraes W's recent run of results.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vitoria Guimaraes W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Vitoria Guimaraes W Clean Sheet 20%
Leiria W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes W Leiria W
Matches Played 30 2
Wins 8 0
Draws 10 0
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1 9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 9.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Taça de Portugal Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Leiria W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Guimaraes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes I.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ribeiro M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Leiria W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes W 85 / 100
Leiria W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes W Leiria W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiria W let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Vitoria Guimaraes W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Vitoria Guimaraes W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes W VS Leiria W
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 9
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Guimaraes W

(Home)
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
02 May
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 0
Torreense W
25 Apr
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
03 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
28 Mar
Damaiense W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Page 1 of 6

Leiria W

(Away)
13 Dec
Torreense W
9 : 1
Leiria W
15 Feb
Vitoria Guimaraes W
6 : 0
Leiria W

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Albergaria/Durit W0
Torreense W2
Vitoria Guimaraes W6
Leiria W0
Damaiense W5
C.F. Benfica W1
Gil Vicente W0
Braga W1
SL Benfica W3
Racing Power W2
Sporting W3
Maritimo W0
Valadares Gaia W1
Estoril Praia W0
Feirense W0
Rio Ave W6
Quarter-finals
Torreense W2
Vitoria Guimaraes W0
Damaiense W2
Braga W3
SL Benfica W3
Sporting W2
Valadares Gaia W2
Rio Ave W1
Semi-finals
Torreense W5
Braga W0
SL Benfica W3
Valadares Gaia W2
Final
Torreense W2
SL Benfica W1