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Vitoria vs Internacional

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Barradao
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Rene
Assist: Erick
35'
Caique Goncalves
38'
Bruno Gomes

AI Match Summary

Vitoria host Internacional in the Serie A Betano. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Internacional have shipped 1.57 goals a game lately, while Vitoria have conceded 1.5 and scored 2.25. Past meetings favor Vitoria slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.91 xG vs 1.75) point toward Vitoria. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vitoria
33%
Draws
27%
Internacional
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Internacional.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Vitoria.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie A Betano provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Internacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Internacional
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Serie A Betano
Vitoria vs Internacional
2:0
Nov 5, 2025 Serie A Betano
Vitoria vs Internacional
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Vitoria
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Vitoria
3:1
Jun 16, 2024 Serie A Betano
Vitoria vs Internacional
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Rene
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tarzia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Internacional Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria 50 / 100
Internacional 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Internacional

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Internacional let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Vitoria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Internacional lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria VS Internacional
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.57
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 57%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1894528:2331
4Athletico-PR1893624:1830
5Bragantino1892725:1929
6Bahia1775525:2326
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Atletico-MG1873822:2324
10Corinthians1866618:1924
11Cruzeiro1866624:2824
12Botafogo RJ1764731:3122
13Vitoria1764721:2522
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1856726:2921
16Gremio1856720:2321
17Vasco1855822:2920
18Remo1846821:2918
19Mirassol1744918:2416
20Chapecoense-SC17161017:339