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Vitoria Sernache vs GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Sernache host GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021. Vitoria Sernache are expected to control this from the start. Vitoria Sernache have averaged 0.88 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor Vitoria Sernache slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 0.75, favoring Vitoria Sernache. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Vitoria Sernache
28%
Draws
22%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vitoria Sernache

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Vitoria Sernache carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vitoria Sernache a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Vitoria Sernache Clean Sheet 20%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Sernache GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
Matches Played 31 16
Wins 17 2
Draws 10 2
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Vitoria Sernache vs GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
0:0
Oct 4, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz vs Vitoria Sernache
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Sernache 49 / 100
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Sernache GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz let in goals in 88% of their last 16 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Vitoria Sernache found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Vitoria Sernache remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Sernache VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Sernache

(Home)
10 Jun
Leca
2 : 1
Vitoria Sernache
31 May
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 1
Louletano
23 May
Malveira
0 : 3
Vitoria Sernache
17 May
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0
Oliveira Hospital
10 May
Louletano
1 : 2
Vitoria Sernache
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GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

(Away)
27 Jan
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
0 : 3
Oleiros
13 Jan
Alcains
0 : 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
10 Jan
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
1 : 2
Leiria
06 Dec
SB Castelo Branco
3 : 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
29 Nov
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
2 : 2
Carapinheirense
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leiria20145134:947
2Oliveira Hospital2097424:1934
3SB Castelo Branco2088421:1432
4Condeixa2078518:1729
5Marinhense2084823:2128
6Oleiros2068628:2726
7Carapinheirense2056921:2621
8Sertanense2049722:2421
9Vitoria Sernache2056925:2821
10Alcains2038914:3417
11Mortagua FC20111815:2614
12GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz00000:00
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)