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Vitoria Setubal vs Aljustrelense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group H Estádio do Bonfim, Setúbal
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Setubal in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group H matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria Setubal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Vitoria Setubal
20%
Draws
29%
Aljustrelense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vitoria Setubal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aljustrelense haven't matched Vitoria Setubal's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Vitoria Setubal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Vitoria Setubal Clean Sheet 20%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Setubal Aljustrelense
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 17 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.65 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Vitoria Setubal vs Aljustrelense
2:0
Jan 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs Vitoria Setubal
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Setubal 67 / 100
Aljustrelense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Setubal Aljustrelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Setubal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Setubal scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Aljustrelense conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Vitoria Setubal stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Setubal VS Aljustrelense
1.38 Goals Scored 0.71
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Setubal

(Home)
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2
Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Lajense
0 : 1
Vitoria Setubal
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
16 Aug
Serpa
4 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
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Aljustrelense

(Away)
27 Sept
Aljustrelense
0 : 2
GD Alcochetense
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
13 Sept
Portel
1 : 1
Aljustrelense
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 20 15 5 0 49:20 50
2 Amora 20 13 5 2 34:13 44
3 Olhanense 20 10 5 5 27:17 35
4 Louletano 20 8 10 2 30:18 34
5 Moncarapachense 20 6 7 7 22:21 25
6 Pinhalnovense 20 7 4 9 26:30 25
7 Juv. Evora 20 6 6 8 27:36 24
8 Esperanca de Lagos 20 6 5 9 25:26 23
9 Lusitano GC 20 6 5 9 19:23 23
10 Aljustrelense 20 4 2 14 12:41 14
11 Moura AC 20 0 4 16 17:43 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)