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Vitoria Setubal vs Juv. Evora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Estádio do Bonfim, Setúbal
Vitoria Setubal Logo

Vitoria Setubal

2 - 2
FT
Juv. Evora Logo

Juv. Evora

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Pinto P.
22' Event
Teixeira G.
70' Event
Madeira T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vitoria Setubal
15%
Draws
39%
Juv. Evora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria Setubal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Juv. Evora haven't matched Vitoria Setubal's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vitoria Setubal a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Vitoria Setubal Clean Sheet 68%
Juv. Evora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Setubal Juv. Evora
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vitoria Setubal vs Juv. Evora
2:2
Mar 9, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vitoria Setubal vs Juv. Evora
3:0
Nov 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Juv. Evora vs Vitoria Setubal
1:1
Jan 23, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Juv. Evora vs Vitoria Setubal
2:5
Dec 13, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Vitoria Setubal vs Juv. Evora
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Setubal Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinto P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Teixeira G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Juv. Evora Compare

Top Goalscorer Madeira T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elias R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Setubal 59 / 100
Juv. Evora 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Setubal Juv. Evora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Setubal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Setubal scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Juv. Evora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Vitoria Setubal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Setubal VS Juv. Evora
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Setubal

(Home)
01 Nov
Vitoria Setubal
3 : 1
Lagoa
25 Oct
1º Dezembro
1 : 0
Vitoria Setubal
18 Oct
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 2
Uniao Da Serra
11 Oct
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 1
Real SC
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
Page 1 of 6

Juv. Evora

(Away)
01 Nov
Juv. Evora
2 : 0
Imortal
24 Oct
Real SC
4 : 1
Juv. Evora
11 Oct
Juv. Evora
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
04 Oct
Lajense
2 : 0
Juv. Evora
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2
Juv. Evora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 7 5 1 1 15:6 16
2 Real SC 7 3 4 0 14:9 13
3 Juv. Evora 7 3 2 2 12:11 11
4 GD Alcochetense 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
5 Imortal 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
6 Serpa 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
7 Lajense 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
8 Santa Clara B 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
9 Amora 7 2 2 3 8:8 8
10 Vitoria Setubal 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
11 1º Dezembro 6 2 2 2 4:8 8
12 Lagoa 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
13 Portel 8 0 6 2 10:14 6
14 Aljustrelense 7 0 3 4 3:15 3
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)