Sport Picks
Vitoria Setubal vs Juv. Evora
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Estádio do Bonfim, Setúbal 
Match Events
16'
16'
22'
22'
70'
70'
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Juv. Evora
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Juv. Evora haven't matched Vitoria Setubal's recent run of results.
- Model gives Juv. Evora a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Vitoria Setubal Clean Sheet 14%
Juv. Evora Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vitoria Setubal | Juv. Evora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 37 |
| Wins | 18 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 13 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vitoria Setubal vs Juv. Evora
2:2
Mar 9, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vitoria Setubal vs Juv. Evora
3:0
Nov 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Juv. Evora vs Vitoria Setubal
1:1
Jan 23, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Juv. Evora vs Vitoria Setubal
2:5
Dec 13, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Vitoria Setubal vs Juv. Evora
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vitoria Setubal 10 / 100
Juv. Evora 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vitoria Setubal Juv. Evora
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Juv. Evora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vitoria Setubal scored in 88% of their last 33 games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Juv. Evora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 37 matches.
Vitoria Setubal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vitoria Setubal VS Juv. Evora
1.2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.13
60% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 63%
60% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vitoria Setubal
(Home) 13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2 Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Lajense
0 : 1 Vitoria Setubal
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3 Amora
16 Aug
Serpa
4 : 2 Vitoria Setubal
10 Jun
Vitoria Setubal
0 : 3 Amarante FC
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2 Juv. Evora
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3 Amora
10 Jun
Vitoria Setubal
0 : 3 Amarante FC
25 May
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 0 Moncarapachense
05 May
Vitoria Setubal
3 : 1 SC Lusitania
Page 1 of 4
Juv. Evora
(Away) 13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2 Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Juv. Evora
1 : 1 Portel
30 Aug
Uniao Montemor
1 : 4 Juv. Evora
16 Aug
Juv. Evora
3 : 2 GD Alcochetense
18 Apr
Juv. Evora
4 : 1 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Page 1 of 8
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2 Juv. Evora
30 Aug
Uniao Montemor
1 : 4 Juv. Evora
12 Apr
Moncarapachense
0 : 1 Juv. Evora
22 Mar
Serpa
0 : 3 Juv. Evora
08 Mar
Oriental
2 : 2 Juv. Evora
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sintrense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Imortal | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Serpa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 4 | Lagoa | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 5 | Juv. Evora | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Real SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 7 | Amora | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 8 | Portel | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 9 | Vitoria Setubal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 10 | GD Alcochetense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 2 |
| 11 | Aljustrelense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:6 | 2 |
| 12 | 1º Dezembro | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 13 | Lajense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 1 |
| 14 | Santa Clara B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)
