Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria U20 vs Vitoria da Conquista U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitoria U20 in this Baiano U20 2022 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vitoria U20
40%
Draws
29%
Vitoria da Conquista U20
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria U20 lately — more wins on the board than Vitoria da Conquista U20.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Vitoria U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vitoria U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vitoria U20 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vitoria U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Vitoria da Conquista U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria U20 Vitoria da Conquista U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2023 Baiano U20
Vitoria da Conquista U20 vs Vitoria U20
1:2
Jun 15, 2022 Baiano U20
Vitoria U20 vs Vitoria da Conquista U20
4:1
Jun 11, 2022 Baiano U20
Vitoria da Conquista U20 vs Vitoria U20
2:3
Apr 9, 2022 Baiano U20
Vitoria U20 vs Vitoria da Conquista U20
3:1
Jun 3, 2017 Baiano U20
Vitoria U20 vs Vitoria da Conquista U20
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria U20 31 / 100
Vitoria da Conquista U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria U20 Vitoria da Conquista U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria U20 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Vitoria da Conquista U20 conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Vitoria U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria U20 VS Vitoria da Conquista U20
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria U20

(Home)
18 Jul
Vitoria U20
3 : 3
Fluminense de Feira U20
11 Jul
Fluminense de Feira U20
1 : 0
Vitoria U20
04 Jul
Vitoria U20
1 : 0
Barcelona FC U20
01 Jul
Athletico-PR U20
2 : 0
Vitoria U20
28 Jun
Barcelona FC U20
0 : 5
Vitoria U20
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Vitoria da Conquista U20

(Away)
13 Jun
Jacuipense U20
2 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista U20
06 Jun
Vitoria da Conquista U20
0 : 2
Jacuipense U20
03 Jun
Grapiuna U20
2 : 0
Vitoria da Conquista U20
30 May
Vitoria da Conquista U20
9 : 0
Catuense U20
24 May
Conquista FC U20
0 : 0
Vitoria da Conquista U20
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Juazeirense U201
Jacuipense U200
Fluminense de Feira U200
Bahia U203
Vitoria da Conquista U203
Camacariense U202
Canaa U202
Vitoria U203
Semi-finals
Juazeirense U201
Bahia U203
Vitoria da Conquista U203
Vitoria U207
Final
Bahia U204
Vitoria U203