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Vitoria vs Bahia de Feira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Barradao, Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Guilherme Bastos
37'
Neris
46'
Sub
Vitinho In: Arthur Martins
Out: Vitinho

AI Match Summary

Vitoria in this Baiano matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vitoria
15%
Draws
39%
Bahia de Feira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria lately — more wins on the board than Bahia de Feira.
  • Win probability leans Vitoria's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Baiano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 18%
Bahia de Feira Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Bahia de Feira
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 23 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.73 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Baiano
Vitoria vs Bahia de Feira
1:0
Jan 20, 2024 Baiano
Vitoria vs Bahia de Feira
1:0
Jan 12, 2023 Baiano
Bahia de Feira vs Vitoria
1:1
Mar 16, 2022 Baiano
Vitoria vs Bahia de Feira
2:1
Mar 31, 2021 Baiano
Bahia de Feira vs Vitoria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Bahia de Feira Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria 36 / 100
Bahia de Feira 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Bahia de Feira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitoria scored in 76% of their last 41 outings.

Bahia de Feira has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Vitoria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria

(Home)
07 Oct
Vitoria
4 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
20 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 3
Cruzeiro
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0
Gremio
03 Sept
Vitoria
0 : 2
Vasco
Page 1 of 9

Bahia de Feira

(Away)
22 Feb
Jacuipense
3 : 1
Bahia de Feira
18 Feb
Vitoria
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
11 Feb
Bahia de Feira
6 : 1
Barcelona FC
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
29 Jan
Bahia de Feira
1 : 2
Jequie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia 9 7 2 0 26:9 23
2 Vitoria 9 4 4 1 13:4 16
3 Jacuipense 9 3 4 2 11:10 13
4 Juazeirense 9 3 4 2 7:9 13
5 Jequie 9 3 3 3 15:13 12
6 Porto-BA 9 2 5 2 10:12 11
7 Barcelona FC 9 2 4 3 7:15 10
8 Galicia 9 3 0 6 7:14 9
9 Bahia de Feira 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
10 Alagoinhas 9 0 3 6 5:14 3
Promotion - Baiano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Baiano 2 2027 (Main)