Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria vs Ceara

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Barradao, Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Eder
31'
Luiz Otavio
39'
Sub
Lucca In: Lucas Lima
Out: Lucca

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Vitoria
20%
Draws
58%
Ceara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ceara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria have won more games recently than Ceara.
  • Win probability leans Ceara's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Vitoria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vitoria, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vitoria have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 23%
Ceara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Ceara
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.81 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Vitoria vs Ceara
1:0
Oct 2, 2025 Serie A Betano
Vitoria vs Ceara
1:0
May 3, 2025 Serie A Betano
Ceara vs Vitoria
1:0
Aug 13, 2023 Serie B
Vitoria vs Ceara
1:0
May 10, 2023 Serie B
Ceara vs Vitoria
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Renato Kayzer
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ceara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria 16 / 100
Ceara 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Ceara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitoria scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Ceara let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Vitoria remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria VS Ceara
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria

(Home)
09 Aug
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0
Vitoria
06 Aug
Vitoria
4 : 0
Athletico-PR
04 Aug
Athletico-PR
2 : 0
Vitoria
30 Jul
Vitoria
0 : 4
Palmeiras
26 Jul
Remo
2 : 0
Vitoria
Page 1 of 7

Ceara

(Away)
07 Aug
Ceara
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
26 Jul
Sao Bernardo
3 : 4
Ceara
22 Jul
Ceara
0 : 1
CRB
17 Jul
America MG
1 : 1
Ceara
13 Jul
Ceara
0 : 0
Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Vitoria 1
Ceara 0
ABC 4
Juazeirense 0
Confianca 1
Fortaleza 2
Sport Recife 1
ASA 0
Semi-finals
Vitoria 10
ABC 5
Fortaleza 3
Sport Recife 2
Final
Vitoria 4
Fortaleza 2