Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria vs Chapecoense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Barradao, Salvador
Wed, Oct 7, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitoria host Chapecoense-SC in the Serie A Betano. This has Chapecoense-SC written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Vitoria at 1.36 goals for, 1.42 against; Chapecoense-SC at 1.17 for, 1.67 against. Head-to-head, Vitoria have won 1 to Chapecoense-SC's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Chapecoense-SC to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vitoria
30%
Draws
39%
Chapecoense-SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chapecoense-SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Chapecoense-SC haven't matched Vitoria's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 20%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Chapecoense-SC
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.36 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Vitoria
1:1
Nov 25, 2023 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Vitoria
3:1
Jul 24, 2023 Serie B
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-SC
1:0
Jan 17, 2021 Serie B
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-SC
0:0
Oct 17, 2020 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Vitoria
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria 32 / 100
Chapecoense-SC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Chapecoense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapecoense-SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chapecoense-SC conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Vitoria found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vitoria stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria VS Chapecoense-SC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria

(Home)
20 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 3
Cruzeiro
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0
Gremio
03 Sept
Vitoria
0 : 2
Vasco
29 Aug
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Vitoria
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Chapecoense-SC

(Away)
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Internacional
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 28 18 6 4 55:23 60
2 Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 47:21 57
3 Athletico-PR 28 14 7 7 43:32 49
4 Fluminense 28 13 9 6 44:36 48
5 Bahia 28 12 10 6 43:35 46
6 Cruzeiro 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
7 Atletico-MG 27 11 7 9 36:32 40
8 Santos 27 10 8 9 41:40 38
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 37:43 38
10 Bragantino 27 10 6 11 33:31 36
11 Sao Paulo 27 10 6 11 32:30 36
12 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
13 Vitoria 28 9 6 13 28:42 33
14 Corinthians 28 8 8 12 29:32 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Vasco 27 8 7 12 34:41 31
17 Gremio 28 7 8 13 30:38 29
18 Internacional 28 6 10 12 30:36 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)