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Vitoria vs Juazeirense

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Barradao, Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Rene
8'
Santos Nascimento Filho E.
16' Event
Matheuzinho

AI Match Summary

Vitoria in this Copa do Nordeste tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vitoria
33%
Draws
27%
Juazeirense
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria lately — more wins on the board than Juazeirense.
  • Win probability leans Vitoria's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Vitoria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vitoria, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vitoria have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Juazeirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Juazeirense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Vitoria vs Juazeirense
4:1
Jan 21, 2026 Baiano
Vitoria vs Juazeirense
4:0
Jan 16, 2025 Baiano
Juazeirense vs Vitoria
1:4
Feb 15, 2024 Copa do Nordeste
Juazeirense vs Vitoria
2:0
Jan 28, 2024 Baiano
Vitoria vs Juazeirense
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Rene
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheuzinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Juazeirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Marlon Almeida
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria 50 / 100
Juazeirense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Juazeirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Vitoria scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Juazeirense conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Vitoria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria VS Juazeirense
2.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria

(Home)
26 Jul
Remo
2 : 0
Vitoria
23 Jul
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Vitoria
16 Jul
Vitoria
1 : 0
Vasco
06 Jun
Vitoria
2 : 1
Fortaleza
03 Jun
Fortaleza
1 : 2
Vitoria
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Juazeirense

(Away)
28 Jun
Juazeirense
0 : 1
Serra Branca
21 Jun
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Juazeirense
14 Jun
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 1
Juazeirense
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Jacuipense
2 : 2
Juazeirense
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