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Stadium Background

Vitoria vs Palmeiras

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Barradao, Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Marlon Freitas
27'
Mauricio
32'
Martinez E.

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palmeiras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vitoria
6%
Draws
90%
Palmeiras
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Palmeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palmeiras lately — more wins on the board than Vitoria.
  • Palmeiras are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 14%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Palmeiras
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 2.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Serie A Betano
Vitoria vs Palmeiras
0:4
Feb 5, 2026 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Vitoria
5:1
Nov 19, 2025 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Vitoria
0:0
Aug 3, 2025 Serie A Betano
Vitoria vs Palmeiras
2:2
Jul 27, 2024 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Vitoria
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Palmeiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauricio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arias J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria 10 / 100
Palmeiras 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Palmeiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Vitoria scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Palmeiras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Vitoria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria VS Palmeiras
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria

(Home)
30 Jul
Vitoria
0 : 4
Palmeiras
26 Jul
Remo
2 : 0
Vitoria
23 Jul
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Vitoria
16 Jul
Vitoria
1 : 0
Vasco
06 Jun
Vitoria
2 : 1
Fortaleza
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Palmeiras

(Away)
30 Jul
Vitoria
0 : 4
Palmeiras
26 Jul
Palmeiras
1 : 2
Atletico-MG
22 Jul
Coritiba
1 : 3
Palmeiras
31 May
Palmeiras
1 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
28 May
Palmeiras
4 : 1
Junior
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras21145238:1647
2Flamengo RJ20116337:1839
3Athletico-PR21114628:1937
4Fluminense2197530:2534
5Bahia2188529:2532
6Bragantino2094726:2031
7Cruzeiro2186727:3030
8Botafogo RJ2085734:3229
9Corinthians2178622:2029
10Atletico-MG2084825:2528
11Coritiba2176825:2827
12Sao Paulo2075825:2326
13Vitoria2175922:3126
14Mirassol2065923:2723
15Santos2057829:3322
16Internacional2157923:2722
17Gremio2057822:2622
18Vasco2056923:3121
19Remo21561024:3421
20Chapecoense-SC20171219:4110
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)