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Vitoria vs Piaui - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Barradao, Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Rene
48' Event
Kauan Maranhao
54'
Sub
Lucas Silva In: Erick
Out: Lucas Silva

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Vitoria
15%
Draws
48%
Piaui
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piaui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Vitoria have won more games recently than Piaui.
  • Win probability leans Vitoria's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Vitoria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vitoria, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 20%
Piaui Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Piaui
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.73 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Vitoria vs Piaui
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Rene
2 Goals
Assists Leader Erick
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Piaui Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan Maranhao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria 42 / 100
Piaui 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Piaui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Vitoria found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Piaui's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Vitoria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria VS Piaui
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria

(Home)
07 Oct
Vitoria
4 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
20 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 3
Cruzeiro
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0
Gremio
03 Sept
Vitoria
0 : 2
Vasco
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Piaui

(Away)
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
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