Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria W vs Atletico-MG W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Governador Roberto Santos (Pituacu), Salvador
Vitoria W Logo

Vitoria W

0 - 3
FT
Atletico-MG W Logo

Atletico-MG W

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Pimenta
(Penalty)
42' Event
Ramos C.
45'
Kamila
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico-MG W in this Brasileiro Women matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico-MG W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vitoria W
15%
Draws
39%
Atletico-MG W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico-MG W lately — more wins on the board than Vitoria W.
  • Win probability leans Vitoria W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Atletico-MG W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Vitoria W Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria W Atletico-MG W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 2.34 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Copa do Brasil Women
Atletico-MG W vs Vitoria W
3:1
Mar 27, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Vitoria W vs Atletico-MG W
0:3
Jul 5, 2025 Brasileiro A2 Women
Vitoria W vs Atletico-MG W
1:1
Jun 23, 2025 Brasileiro A2 Women
Atletico-MG W vs Vitoria W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Atletico-MG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kelen
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria W 95 / 100
Atletico-MG W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria W Atletico-MG W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria W's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Atletico-MG W conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Vitoria W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria W VS Atletico-MG W
3.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria W

(Home)
26 Sept
Vitoria W
10 : 0
CFFB W
19 Sept
Vitoria W
13 : 0
Camacariense W
12 Sept
Jequie W
0 : 6
Vitoria W
05 Sept
Vitoria W
3 : 0
Galicia W
22 Aug
Vitoria W
1 : 2
Santos W
Page 1 of 6

Atletico-MG W

(Away)
02 Oct
Araguari W
0 : 11
Atletico-MG W
26 Sept
Atletico-MG W
3 : 0
Democrata GV W
12 Sept
America Mineiro W
1 : 3
Atletico-MG W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
22 Aug
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Atletico-MG W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)