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Vitoria W vs Doce Mel W

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Vitoria W
15%
Draws
7%
Doce Mel W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Vitoria W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vitoria W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Vitoria W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vitoria W, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Vitoria W Clean Sheet 11%
Doce Mel W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria W Doce Mel W
Matches Played 38 34
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 2.66 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.12 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2022 Baiano Women
Vitoria W vs Doce Mel W
2:1
Oct 2, 2021 Baiano Women
Vitoria W vs Doce Mel W
1:1
Sep 26, 2021 Baiano Women
Doce Mel W vs Vitoria W
2:1
Aug 29, 2021 Baiano Women
Doce Mel W vs Vitoria W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria W 83 / 100
Doce Mel W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria W Doce Mel W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Vitoria W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (38 games).

Defensive concern: Doce Mel W conceded in 76% of 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Vitoria W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria W VS Doce Mel W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.86
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.86
100% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 86%
75% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria W

(Home)
26 Sept
Vitoria W
10 : 0
CFFB W
19 Sept
Vitoria W
13 : 0
Camacariense W
12 Sept
Jequie W
0 : 6
Vitoria W
05 Sept
Vitoria W
3 : 0
Galicia W
22 Aug
Vitoria W
1 : 2
Santos W
Page 1 of 8

Doce Mel W

(Away)
08 Aug
Acao W
3 : 2
Doce Mel W
02 Aug
Doce Mel W
0 : 4
Taubate W
25 Jul
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Doce Mel W
31 May
Doce Mel W
0 : 0
3B da Amazonia W
28 May
Cruzeiro W
5 : 0
Doce Mel W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Doce Mel W 3
Vitoria W 2
Juventude Conquista W 0
Bahia W 3
Final
Doce Mel W 1
Bahia W 4