Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria W vs Santos W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Barradao, Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Ketlen
42'
Bizerra V.
45' Event
Milena Monteiro

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between Vitoria W and Santos W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vitoria W
15%
Draws
39%
Santos W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria W's 1.79 goals per match outpaces what Santos W have produced (1.43).
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Vitoria W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Santos W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vitoria W Clean Sheet 11%
Santos W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria W Santos W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Vitoria W vs Santos W
1:2
Oct 11, 2020 Brasileiro Women
Santos W vs Vitoria W
1:0
Jul 10, 2019 Brasileiro Women
Vitoria W vs Santos W
1:3
May 3, 2017 Brasileiro Women
Vitoria W vs Santos W
1:3
Apr 2, 2017 Brasileiro Women
Santos W vs Vitoria W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Milena Monteiro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Santos W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ketlen
1 Goals
Assists Leader Laryh
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria W 47 / 100
Santos W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria W Santos W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Vitoria W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Santos W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Vitoria W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria W VS Santos W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria W

(Home)
12 Sept
Jequie W
0 : 6
Vitoria W
05 Sept
Vitoria W
3 : 0
Galicia W
22 Aug
Vitoria W
1 : 2
Santos W
15 Aug
Bragantino W
6 : 2
Vitoria W
09 Aug
Vitoria W
2 : 2
Internacional W
Page 1 of 6

Santos W

(Away)
26 Aug
Santos W
1 : 0
Mirassol W
22 Aug
Vitoria W
1 : 2
Santos W
16 Aug
Santos W
2 : 3
CR Flamengo W
13 Aug
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
Santos W
09 Aug
Corinthians W
4 : 1
Santos W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)