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Vitoria W vs Sao Paulo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Barradao, Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Bruna Calderan
24'
Tayla
31' Event
Moura V.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Sao Paulo W in this Brasileiro Women matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Paulo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vitoria W
15%
Draws
39%
Sao Paulo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Paulo W lately — more wins on the board than Vitoria W.
  • Model gives Vitoria W a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Vitoria W Clean Sheet 18%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria W Sao Paulo W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 21
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 2.45 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Vitoria W vs Sao Paulo W
1:3
Oct 4, 2020 Brasileiro Women
Vitoria W vs Sao Paulo W
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sheila
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Sao Paulo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruna Calderan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria W 85 / 100
Sao Paulo W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria W Sao Paulo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vitoria W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Vitoria W's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sao Paulo W conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria W VS Sao Paulo W
6.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria W

(Home)
07 Oct
Juazeirense W
0 : 14
Vitoria W
26 Sept
Vitoria W
10 : 0
CFFB W
19 Sept
Vitoria W
13 : 0
Camacariense W
12 Sept
Jequie W
0 : 6
Vitoria W
05 Sept
Vitoria W
3 : 0
Galicia W
Page 1 of 6

Sao Paulo W

(Away)
03 Oct
Sao Paulo W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)