Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Vittoriosa in this FA Trophy 2021/2022 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vittoriosa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vittoriosa haven't matched Mellieha's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Vittoriosa's way, sitting at 90%.
- Mellieha arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Vittoriosa, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Vittoriosa have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Vittoriosa Clean Sheet 15%
Mellieha Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vittoriosa | Mellieha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 1 |
| Losses | 15 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 8, 2021 FA Trophy
Vittoriosa vs Mellieha
2:0
Mar 19, 2008 Challenge League
Mellieha vs Vittoriosa
3:6
Nov 24, 2007 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs Mellieha
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vittoriosa 84 / 100
Mellieha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vittoriosa Mellieha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vittoriosa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mellieha has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Vittoriosa scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.
Recent resilience: Vittoriosa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vittoriosa VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Vittoriosa
(Home) 19 Sept
Vittoriosa
2 : 0 Gudja
12 Sept
Santa Lucia
0 : 0 Vittoriosa
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3 Gudja
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1 Zebbug
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1 Vittoriosa
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19 Sept
Vittoriosa
2 : 0 Gudja
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3 Gudja
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1 Zebbug
08 Mar
Vittoriosa
1 : 1 Santa Lucia
28 Feb
Vittoriosa
2 : 1 Zurrieq
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Mellieha
(Away) 10 Jan
Zurrieq
1 : 0 Mellieha
07 Dec
Tarxien
1 : 2 Mellieha
08 Dec
Vittoriosa
2 : 0 Mellieha
26 Oct
Mellieha
1 : 4 Swieqi
02 Dec
Mellieha
0 : 5 Lija
Page 1 of 6
10 Jan
Zurrieq
1 : 0 Mellieha
07 Dec
Tarxien
1 : 2 Mellieha
08 Dec
Vittoriosa
2 : 0 Mellieha
10 Sept
Mdina
2 : 3 Mellieha
25 Oct
Lija
2 : 1 Mellieha
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Gzira -
TBD -
Zabbar 3
Mqabba FC 0
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Zebbug 4
Zurrieq 1
St. Andrews 3
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Sliema -
TBD -
Vittoriosa 2
Mellieha 0
Pembroke -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 5
Kercem Ajax 2
Marsa -
TBD -
Senglea 1
Tarxien 2
Sannat Lions 1
Marsaskala FC 2
TBD -
Valletta -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Victoria Wanderers 1
Melita 3
Mgarr 1
St. George's FC 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Lija 0
Fgura 4
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Pieta 3
Rabat Ajax 2
Hamrun -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions 2
San Gwann 1
Zejtun -
TBD -
Qrendi 1
Xewkija 4
Hibernians -
TBD -
Nadur 7
Oratory 0
1/16-finals
Gzira 4
Zabbar 0
Gudja 4
Swieqi 0
Zebbug 0
St. Andrews 2
Santa Lucia 4
Sirens 1
Sliema 3
Vittoriosa 0
Pembroke 0
Marsaxlokk 1
Marsa 0
Tarxien 2
Marsaskala FC 0
Valletta 5
Floriana 1
Ghajnsielem 0
Melita 1
St. George's FC 2
Birkirkara 4
Fgura 0
Mosta FC 5
Luqa 0
Balzan FC 5
Pieta 1
Hamrun 1
Naxxar Lions 0
Zejtun 7
Xewkija 1
Hibernians 2
Nadur 0
1/8-finals
Gzira 3
Gudja 1
St. Andrews 1
Santa Lucia 2
Sliema 1
Marsaxlokk 2
Tarxien 1
Valletta 5
Floriana 2
St. George's FC 0
Birkirkara 1
Mosta FC 0
Balzan FC 1
Hamrun 2
Zejtun 1
Hibernians 2
Quarter-finals
Gzira 0
Santa Lucia 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Valletta 3
Floriana 3
Birkirkara 1
Hamrun 1
Hibernians 2
Semi-finals
Santa Lucia 0
Valletta 1
Floriana 2
Hibernians 1
Final
Valletta 1
Floriana 2
