Sport Picks
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Orvietana
Italy
Serie D - Group E 
Match Events
16'
16'
Bocci N.
66'
66'
Caon G.
(Penalty)
68'
68'
Tilli R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Orvietana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Orvietana lately — more wins on the board than Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro.
- Win probability leans Orvietana's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Clean Sheet 23%
Orvietana Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | Orvietana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 1 | 8 |
| Draws | 14 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Orvietana vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
3:2
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Orvietana
2:2
Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Orvietana vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0:0
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Orvietana
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Compare
Top Goalscorer Bocci N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Massai A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Orvietana Compare
Top Goalscorer Tilli R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 29 / 100
Orvietana 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Orvietana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ORV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
Orvietana has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro VS Orvietana
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
(Home) 03 May
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0 Camaiore Calcio
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
19 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1 Sporting Trestina
12 Apr
Grosseto
2 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
02 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0 Montevarchi
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0 Camaiore Calcio
19 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1 Sporting Trestina
02 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0 Montevarchi
22 Mar
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
01 Mar
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 3
Orvietana
(Away) 10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0 Poggibonsi
03 May
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0 Orvietana
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
19 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 1 Orvietana
12 Apr
Orvietana
0 : 1 Scandicci
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0 Orvietana
19 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 1 Orvietana
02 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0 Orvietana
22 Mar
Tau
2 : 1 Orvietana
15 Mar
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Orvietana
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)