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Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Perugi S.
62' Event
Vitiello D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro and San Donato Tavarnelle finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
33%
Draws
40%
San Donato Tavarnelle
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Donato Tavarnelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • San Donato Tavarnelle carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans San Donato Tavarnelle's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Clean Sheet 22%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro San Donato Tavarnelle
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 6
Draws 14 12
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1:0
May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1:1
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2:1
Jan 18, 2015 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitiello D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

San Donato Tavarnelle Compare

Top Goalscorer Perugi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 29 / 100
San Donato Tavarnelle 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro San Donato Tavarnelle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Donato Tavarnelle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro VS San Donato Tavarnelle
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622