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Vizela U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vizela U19 play Pacos Ferreira U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vizela U19 averaged 1.53 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Pacos Ferreira U19 averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Vizela U19 won 2, Pacos Ferreira U19 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Vizela U19 and 1.88 for Pacos Ferreira U19. This points to a Vizela U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vizela U19
24%
Draws
37%
Pacos Ferreira U19
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Vizela U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Vizela U19 picked up more points recently compared to Pacos Ferreira U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vizela U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Pacos Ferreira U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vizela U19 Pacos Ferreira U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.53 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Vizela U19
3:2
Feb 28, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vizela U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Vizela U19
2:3
Sep 14, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vizela U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19
1:2
Apr 13, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Vizela U19
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vizela U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Macedo T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soares R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Pacos Ferreira U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vizela U19 37 / 100
Pacos Ferreira U19 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vizela U19 Pacos Ferreira U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vizela U19 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vizela U19 attacking → ← attacking Pacos Ferreira U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vizela U19 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Pacos Ferreira U19 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Vizela U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pacos Ferreira U19 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 28
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75