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Vizela U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Lopes D.
61' Event
Jesus A.
63' Event
Pereira P.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Vizela U19 and Vitoria Guimaraes U19 finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitoria Guimaraes U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Vizela U19
15%
Draws
59%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vitoria Guimaraes U19 come out ahead of Vizela U19 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Vizela U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vizela U19 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Vizela U19
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vizela U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Vizela U19
4:1
Jan 10, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vizela U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
3:4
Oct 4, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Vizela U19
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vizela U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jesus A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lysenko M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vizela U19 31 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vizela U19 Vitoria Guimaraes U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Vizela U19 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Vizela U19 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vizela U19 VS Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vizela U19

(Home)
12 Sept
Gil Vicente U19
2 : 0
Vizela U19
05 Sept
Vizela U19
3 : 1
Braga U19
29 Aug
Vizela U19
2 : 5
FC Porto U19
23 Aug
Rio Ave U19
1 : 0
Vizela U19
08 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 0
Vizela U19
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria Guimaraes U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 2
Braga U19
12 Sept
Rio Ave U19
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 0
FC Porto U19
22 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 1
Famalicao U19
15 Aug
Moreirense U19
1 : 2
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 18 16 1 1 62:19 49
2 Gil Vicente U19 18 10 2 6 31:23 32
3 Rio Ave U19 18 10 1 7 32:31 31
4 Famalicao U19 18 9 3 6 35:29 30
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 18 8 3 7 22:27 27
6 Braga U19 18 8 3 7 32:26 27
7 Vizela U19 18 5 4 9 30:39 19
8 Pacos Ferreira U19 18 5 4 9 22:37 19
9 Moreirense U19 18 4 4 10 20:27 16
10 Chaves U19 18 0 5 13 10:38 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 18 10 6 2 31:14 36
2 Leiria U19 18 8 6 4 30:23 30
3 Sporting CP U19 18 8 5 5 27:15 29
4 Santa Clara U19 18 7 7 4 24:17 28
5 Academico Viseu U19 18 5 9 4 23:19 24
6 Torreense U19 18 6 4 8 17:20 22
7 Alverca U19 18 6 3 9 23:26 21
8 Belenenses U19 18 5 5 8 13:23 20
9 Tondela U19 18 4 5 9 11:26 17
10 Mafra U19 18 3 6 9 22:38 15
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)