Sport Picks

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Vizela vs Sporting CP B

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Vizela, Caldas de Vizela
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Morschel H.
Assist: Moha Moukhliss
19'
Italo Henrique
45'
Busnic A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Vizela and Sporting CP B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vizela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Vizela
20%
Draws
42%
Sporting CP B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting CP B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting CP B haven't matched Vizela's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vizela a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vizela here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Vizela Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting CP B Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vizela Sporting CP B
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 0.93 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Vizela vs Sporting CP B
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Vizela
0:1
Feb 9, 2017 Liga Portugal 2
Vizela vs Sporting CP B
2:1
Aug 29, 2016 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Vizela
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vizela Compare

Top Goalscorer Morschel H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sporting CP B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vizela 42 / 100
Sporting CP B 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vizela Sporting CP B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting CP B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Vizela went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vizela found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Vizela VS Sporting CP B
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vizela

(Home)
14 Sept
FC Porto B
2 : 2
Vizela
06 Sept
Vizela
1 : 0
FC Felgueiras
29 Aug
Torreense
0 : 3
Vizela
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0
Amarante FC
16 Aug
Portimonense
2 : 0
Vizela
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Sporting CP B

(Away)
14 Sept
Sporting CP B
1 : 2
Lusitania FC
05 Sept
Feirense
1 : 3
Sporting CP B
30 Aug
Sporting CP B
2 : 1
SC Farense
23 Aug
Penafiel
2 : 0
Sporting CP B
15 Aug
Sporting CP B
1 : 0
Chaves
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maritimo 34 20 6 8 50:29 66
2 Academico Viseu 34 17 8 9 58:33 59
3 Torreense 34 18 5 11 46:33 59
4 Vizela 34 14 9 11 39:40 51
5 FC Porto B 34 15 6 13 41:42 51
6 Leiria 34 13 11 10 52:46 50
7 Leixoes 34 15 5 14 46:55 50
8 Feirense 34 12 10 12 37:40 46
9 Chaves 34 13 6 15 42:40 45
10 Benfica B 34 11 11 12 43:44 44
11 FC Felgueiras 34 11 11 12 34:38 44
12 Lusitania FC 34 11 10 13 44:52 43
13 Sporting CP B 34 13 3 18 41:34 42
14 Penafiel 34 11 8 15 37:39 41
15 Portimonense 34 11 7 16 39:49 40
16 SC Farense 34 10 10 14 31:37 40
17 Pacos Ferreira 34 9 12 13 34:48 39
18 Oliveirense 34 8 10 16 34:49 34
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)