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VMA vs Osterlen FF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023
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Match Events

7' Event
20' Event
36' Event

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 game between VMA and Osterlen FF finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
VMA
15%
Draws
49%
Osterlen FF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Osterlen FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Osterlen FF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Osterlen FF taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
VMA Clean Sheet 20%
Osterlen FF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VMA Osterlen FF
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 6 17
Draws 2 6
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.77
Goals Conceded 3 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs VMA
4:0
May 13, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
VMA vs Osterlen FF
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VMA 10 / 100
Osterlen FF 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VMA Osterlen FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osterlen FF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Osterlen FF conceded in 85% of 39 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

VMA's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Osterlen FF has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Osterlen FF
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

VMA

(Home)
22 Oct
Hassleholms IF
7 : 0
VMA
15 Oct
VMA
0 : 4
Kristianstad
08 Oct
Simrishamn
4 : 0
VMA
01 Oct
IFK Trelleborg
0 : 1
VMA
23 Sept
VMA
2 : 3
Balkan
Page 1 of 6

Osterlen FF

(Away)
12 Sept
Osterlen FF
1 : 4
IFK Trelleborg
05 Sept
Osterlen FF
6 : 0
IFK Karlshamn
30 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
3 : 0
Osterlen FF
22 Aug
Rappe GOIF
1 : 1
Osterlen FF
16 Aug
Osterlen FF
0 : 3
Oskarshamn
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosengard 26 20 3 3 62:27 63
2 Hassleholms IF 26 19 5 2 60:17 62
3 IFK Hassleholm 26 14 5 7 58:43 47
4 Karlskrona 26 13 7 6 47:32 46
5 Rappe GOIF 26 14 3 9 65:38 45
6 Simrishamn 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
7 Kristianstad 26 9 7 10 33:31 34
8 Balkan 26 9 6 11 41:53 33
9 IFK Berga 26 9 4 13 38:47 31
10 IFK Trelleborg 26 6 9 11 44:48 27
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 34:52 26
12 Osterlen FF 26 7 4 15 37:54 25
13 VMA 26 5 2 19 26:80 17
14 IFK Malmo 26 3 7 16 37:64 16
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 (Relegation)