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Vodice vs HNK Zadar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Luetic K.
29' Event
Vukadinovic A.
45' Event
Fustin L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Vodice and HNK Zadar finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HNK Zadar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Vodice
20%
Draws
32%
HNK Zadar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vodice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HNK Zadar come out ahead of Vodice on wins alone.
  • Vodice are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and HNK Zadar have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vodice Clean Sheet 12%
HNK Zadar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vodice HNK Zadar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2023 Club Friendly
Vodice vs HNK Zadar
1:3
Mar 26, 2022 3. HNL South
Vodice vs HNK Zadar
0:0
Sep 29, 2021 3. HNL South
HNK Zadar vs Vodice
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vodice Compare

Top Goalscorer Fustin L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

HNK Zadar Compare

Top Goalscorer Luetic K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vukadinovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vodice 35 / 100
HNK Zadar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vodice HNK Zadar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Vodice found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: HNK Zadar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

HNK Zadar let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vodice VS HNK Zadar
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 75%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vodice

(Home)
09 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 2
Vodice
27 Jul
Vodice
1 : 3
HNK Zadar
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Hrvace
2 : 0
Vodice
21 May
Vodice
1 : 2
Neretva
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HNK Zadar

(Away)
25 Aug
Kustosija
3 : 1
HNK Zadar
01 Aug
Zagora
1 : 0
HNK Zadar
16 Jun
HNK Zadar
2 : 2
Segesta
09 Jun
Segesta
2 : 1
HNK Zadar
10 Feb
HNK Zadar
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
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