Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vodice vs Primorac Biograd

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Vodice and Primorac Biograd finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Primorac Biograd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vodice
15%
Draws
49%
Primorac Biograd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Primorac Biograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Primorac Biograd come out ahead of Vodice on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Primorac Biograd have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vodice Clean Sheet 13%
Primorac Biograd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vodice Primorac Biograd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 3. HNL South
Vodice vs Primorac Biograd
0:3
Sep 8, 2021 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Vodice
5:0
May 8, 2021 3. HNL South
Vodice vs Primorac Biograd
1:2
Oct 24, 2020 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Vodice
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vodice 31 / 100
Primorac Biograd 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vodice Primorac Biograd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Vodice scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Primorac Biograd let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Primorac Biograd has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vodice VS Primorac Biograd
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vodice

(Home)
09 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 2
Vodice
27 Jul
Vodice
1 : 3
HNK Zadar
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Hrvace
2 : 0
Vodice
21 May
Vodice
1 : 2
Neretva
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Primorac Biograd

(Away)
30 Aug
Primorac Biograd
0 : 2
Radnik Krizevci
19 Oct
Primorac Biograd
1 : 4
Varazdin
31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4
Primorac Biograd
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0
Primorac Biograd
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)