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Vodice vs Zagora

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Vodice Logo

Vodice

3 - 3
FT
Zagora Logo

Zagora

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Vodice and Zagora finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Vodice
20%
Draws
58%
Zagora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zagora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Zagora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Zagora's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Vodice Clean Sheet 11%
Zagora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vodice Zagora
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 3. HNL South
Vodice vs Zagora
3:3
Aug 28, 2021 3. HNL South
Zagora vs Vodice
3:0
May 1, 2021 3. HNL South
Zagora vs Vodice
0:0
Oct 17, 2020 3. HNL South
Vodice vs Zagora
1:3
Aug 20, 2019 Club Friendly
Zagora vs Vodice
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vodice 14 / 100
Zagora 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vodice Zagora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zagora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Vodice scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Zagora has conceded goals in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Vodice has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vodice VS Zagora
1.33 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vodice

(Home)
09 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 2
Vodice
27 Jul
Vodice
1 : 3
HNK Zadar
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Hrvace
2 : 0
Vodice
21 May
Vodice
1 : 2
Neretva
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Zagora

(Away)
26 Sept
Lucko
1 : 3
Zagora
19 Sept
Zagora
5 : 0
Uljanik Pula
12 Sept
Solin
1 : 1
Zagora
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
05 Sept
Zagora
1 : 1
Dragovoljac
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)