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Vogherese vs Brusaporto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Quarena A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between Vogherese and Brusaporto finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brusaporto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vogherese
15%
Draws
85%
Brusaporto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brusaporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brusaporto come out ahead of Vogherese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Brusaporto's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Vogherese Clean Sheet 10%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vogherese Brusaporto
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.53 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Vogherese vs Brusaporto
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Vogherese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vogherese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Brusaporto Compare

Top Goalscorer Quarena A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vogherese 10 / 100
Brusaporto 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vogherese Brusaporto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusaporto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusaporto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Vogherese scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Brusaporto has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vogherese VS Brusaporto
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
4 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vogherese

(Home)
03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1
Vogherese
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6
Caldiero Terme
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1
Vogherese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4
USD Casatese
02 Apr
Chievo
4 : 1
Vogherese
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Brusaporto

(Away)
08 Aug
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0
Brusaporto
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1
Brusaporto
26 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 1
Folgore Caratese
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)