Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vogherese vs Caldiero Terme

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
90' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between Vogherese and Caldiero Terme finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caldiero Terme.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vogherese
30%
Draws
70%
Caldiero Terme
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caldiero Terme

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caldiero Terme come out ahead of Vogherese on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Caldiero Terme taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Vogherese Clean Sheet 10%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vogherese Caldiero Terme
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 9
Draws 6 12
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 3.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Vogherese vs Caldiero Terme
0:6
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Vogherese
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vogherese 10 / 100
Caldiero Terme 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vogherese Caldiero Terme

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldiero Terme Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldiero Terme has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Vogherese's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Caldiero Terme has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vogherese VS Caldiero Terme
0.75 Goals Scored 2
5.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vogherese

(Home)
03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1
Vogherese
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6
Caldiero Terme
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1
Vogherese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4
USD Casatese
02 Apr
Chievo
4 : 1
Vogherese
Page 1 of 6

Caldiero Terme

(Away)
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1
AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3
Caldiero Terme
03 May
Caldiero Terme
2 : 2
Varesina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)