Sport Picks
Vogherese vs Real Calepina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 
Match Events
37'
37'
Oboe M.
45'
45'
Oboe M.
47'
47'
Castegnaro J.
AI Match Summary
Real Calepina in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Calepina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Calepina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Real Calepina lately — more wins on the board than Vogherese.
- Real Calepina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Vogherese Clean Sheet 10%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vogherese | Real Calepina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 22 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.53 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 3.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Vogherese vs Real Calepina
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Vogherese
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vogherese Compare
Top Goalscorer Castegnaro J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Real Calepina Compare
Top Goalscorer Oboe M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 2.99
Avg xA / game 1.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vogherese 10 / 100
Real Calepina 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vogherese Real Calepina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Calepina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Real Calepina let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Real Calepina's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Vogherese scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Vogherese VS Real Calepina
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
5.33 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
83% Over 2.5 25%
83% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vogherese
(Home) 03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1 Vogherese
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6 Caldiero Terme
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1 Vogherese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4 USD Casatese
02 Apr
Chievo
4 : 1 Vogherese
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6 Caldiero Terme
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4 USD Casatese
28 Mar
Vogherese
0 : 2 Pavia
15 Mar
Vogherese
1 : 6 Scanzorosciate
15 Feb
Vogherese
0 : 0 Varesina
Page 1 of 3
Real Calepina
(Away) 07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2 AC Leon
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1 Real Calepina
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1 Real Calepina
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1 Real Calepina
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1 Real Calepina
12 Sept
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0 Real Calepina
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1 Real Calepina
19 Apr
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Real Calepina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
