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Vogherese vs Varesina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Vogherese Logo

Vogherese

0 - 0
FT
Varesina Logo

Varesina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vogherese
15%
Draws
85%
Varesina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varesina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varesina lately — more wins on the board than Vogherese.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Varesina taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Vogherese Clean Sheet 10%
Varesina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vogherese Varesina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 3.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Vogherese vs Varesina
0:0
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Varesina vs Vogherese
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vogherese 10 / 100
Varesina 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vogherese Varesina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varesina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Varesina conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Varesina's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Vogherese scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Vogherese VS Varesina
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
5.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
83% Over 2.5 63%
83% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vogherese

(Home)
03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1
Vogherese
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6
Caldiero Terme
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1
Vogherese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4
USD Casatese
02 Apr
Chievo
4 : 1
Vogherese
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Varesina

(Away)
27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2
Varesina
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1
Pistoiese
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1
Varesina
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Varesina
06 Sept
Varesina
3 : 2
Cittadella Vis Modena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)