Sport Picks
Volna Pinsk vs Orsha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Belarus
Pershaya Liga Volna Stadium, Pinsk 
Match Events
15'
15'
Matyash D.
Assist: Vlasov A.
42'
42'
Pashkevich M.
Assist: Tikhomirov D.
44'
44'
Vlasov A.
AI Match Summary
The Pershaya Liga game between Volna Pinsk and Orsha finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Volna Pinsk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Volna Pinsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Volna Pinsk come out ahead of Orsha on wins alone.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Volna Pinsk taking it.
- Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Volna Pinsk Clean Sheet 13%
Orsha Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Volna Pinsk | Orsha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs Orsha
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Volna Pinsk
3:2
Jul 5, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs Orsha
5:1
Aug 10, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Volna Pinsk
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs Orsha
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Volna Pinsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Vlasov A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Matyash D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Orsha Compare
Top Goalscorer Pashkevich M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Volna Pinsk 40 / 100
Orsha 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Volna Pinsk Orsha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Orsha has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Volna Pinsk scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Orsha's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Volna Pinsk VS Orsha
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Volna Pinsk
(Home) 02 Oct
Volna Pinsk
0 : 2 FK Lida
26 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
4 : 0 Volna Pinsk
19 Sept
Volna Pinsk
1 : 3 SKA-1938 Minsk
12 Sept
Slutsk
1 : 0 Volna Pinsk
04 Sept
Volna Pinsk
2 : 1 Din. Minsk 2
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Volna Pinsk
0 : 2 FK Lida
19 Sept
Volna Pinsk
1 : 3 SKA-1938 Minsk
04 Sept
Volna Pinsk
2 : 1 Din. Minsk 2
10 Aug
Volna Pinsk
0 : 0 Uni X Labs
25 Jul
Volna Pinsk
3 : 1 Orsha
Page 1 of 3
Orsha
(Away) 03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0 Niva Dolbizno
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1 Orsha
19 Sept
Orsha
0 : 3 Slutsk
11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0 Orsha
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3 Ostrovets
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1 Orsha
11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0 Orsha
30 Aug
FC Slonim
1 : 2 Orsha
15 Aug
Uni X Labs
0 : 0 Orsha
25 Jul
Volna Pinsk
3 : 1 Orsha
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slutsk | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 56:28 | 57 |
| 2 | Niva Dolbizno | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 67:31 | 55 |
| 3 | FK Lida | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 4 | SKA-1938 Minsk | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 56:31 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Slonim | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 49:32 | 47 |
| 6 | Molodechno | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 45:40 | 45 |
| 7 | BumProm Gomel | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52:41 | 41 |
| 8 | Soligorsk | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 52:44 | 40 |
| 9 | Din. Minsk 2 | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 42:37 | 35 |
| 10 | Ostrovets | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Volna Pinsk | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 40:50 | 34 |
| 12 | Smorgon | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:36 | 33 |
| 13 | FC Minsk 2 | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 37:50 | 30 |
| 14 | Orsha | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28:51 | 27 |
| 15 | Uni X Labs | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25:35 | 26 |
| 16 | BATE 2 | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 36:61 | 22 |
| 17 | FC Gomel 2 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | 21 |
| 18 | Osipovichi | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 29:67 | 19 |
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
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