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Volov Shumen vs Cherno More II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Volov Shumen host Cherno More II in the Third League - North-East. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Volov Shumen have averaged 3.13 scored and 0.67 conceded recently, against Cherno More II's 1.96 scored and 1.21 conceded. Head-to-head, Volov Shumen have won 2 to Cherno More II's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 2, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 1.25, favoring Volov Shumen. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Volov Shumen
15%
Draws
37%
Cherno More II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Volov Shumen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Volov Shumen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Volov Shumen taking it.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Volov Shumen Clean Sheet 19%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volov Shumen Cherno More II
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 22 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 3.13 1.96
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Volov Shumen
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Cherno More II
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Volov Shumen
0:3
Oct 19, 2024 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Cherno More II
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volov Shumen 36 / 100
Cherno More II 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volov Shumen Cherno More II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Volov Shumen scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Cherno More II has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Volov Shumen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Volov Shumen VS Cherno More II
3.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Volov Shumen

(Home)
04 Oct
Volov Shumen
0 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
19 Sept
Volov Shumen
4 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4
Volov Shumen
05 Sept
Volov Shumen
9 : 0
Fratria II
Page 1 of 6

Cherno More II

(Away)
03 Oct
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Cherno More II
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Aksakovo
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
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