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Volov Shumen vs Chernolomets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2025/2026 game between Volov Shumen and Chernolomets finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Volov Shumen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Volov Shumen
15%
Draws
50%
Chernolomets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Volov Shumen come out ahead of Chernolomets on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chernolomets have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Volov Shumen Clean Sheet 19%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volov Shumen Chernolomets
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 3.23 2.41
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Chernolomets
5:0
Nov 15, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Volov Shumen
2:1
Apr 13, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Volov Shumen
3:0
Oct 5, 2024 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Chernolomets
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volov Shumen 32 / 100
Chernolomets 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volov Shumen Chernolomets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Volov Shumen's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Volov Shumen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Chernolomets let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Volov Shumen VS Chernolomets
3.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Volov Shumen

(Home)
04 Oct
Volov Shumen
0 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
19 Sept
Volov Shumen
4 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4
Volov Shumen
05 Sept
Volov Shumen
9 : 0
Fratria II
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Chernolomets

(Away)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)