Sport Picks
Vorskla Poltava vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 
Match Events
40'
40'
Demchenko A.
43'
43'
Dmytruk T.
51'
51'
Chibueze P.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
30%
52%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi have won more games recently than Vorskla Poltava.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 20%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vorskla Poltava | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.09 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 Persha Liga
Vorskla Poltava vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Vorskla Poltava
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vorskla Poltava Compare
Top Goalscorer Serdyuk A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.55
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Compare
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vorskla Poltava 20 / 100
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vorskla Poltava FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Vorskla Poltava remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Vorskla Poltava scored in 46% of their last 26 outings.
Scoring Trends
Vorskla Poltava VS FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0.43 Goals Scored 1
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.75
57% Over 1.5 88%
14% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vorskla Poltava
(Home) 30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1 Vorskla Poltava
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 Livyi Bereg
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 Livyi Bereg
18 Apr
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
08 Apr
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
Page 1 of 3
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
(Away) 03 Oct
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 2 FC Vilkhivtsi
25 Sept
Nyva Ternopil 2
1 : 2 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
20 Sept
Rukh Lviv
2 : 3 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
12 Sept
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
2 : 1 Skala 1911
05 Sept
Dnister Zalishchyky
3 : 2 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Nyva Ternopil 2
1 : 2 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
20 Sept
Rukh Lviv
2 : 3 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
05 Sept
Dnister Zalishchyky
3 : 2 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
01 Aug
Bratslav Vinnytsia
3 : 2 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)
