Sport Picks
Vorskla Poltava vs Inhulets Prediction & H2H Stats
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 
Match Events
5'
5'
Semotyuk V.
14'
14'
Dvorovenko V.
38'
38'
Baydal A.
AI Match Summary
Vorskla Poltava in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vorskla Poltava.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
35%
50%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Inhulets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Inhulets lately — more wins on the board than Vorskla Poltava.
- Inhulets are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 25%
Inhulets Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vorskla Poltava | Inhulets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Persha Liga
Vorskla Poltava vs Inhulets
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 Persha Liga
Inhulets vs Vorskla Poltava
3:0
May 23, 2025 Premier League
Inhulets vs Vorskla Poltava
1:1
Nov 29, 2024 Premier League
Vorskla Poltava vs Inhulets
0:3
Apr 7, 2023 Premier League
Vorskla Poltava vs Inhulets
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vorskla Poltava Compare
Top Goalscorer Dvorovenko V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baydal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Inhulets Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vorskla Poltava 17 / 100
Inhulets 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vorskla Poltava Inhulets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Inhulets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Inhulets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Vorskla Poltava remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Vorskla Poltava scored in 46% of their last 26 outings.
Scoring Trends
Vorskla Poltava VS Inhulets
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vorskla Poltava
(Home) 30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1 Vorskla Poltava
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 Livyi Bereg
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 Livyi Bereg
18 Apr
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
08 Apr
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
Page 1 of 3
Inhulets
(Away) 03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0 Inhulets
26 Sept
Inhulets
2 : 1 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
04 Sept
SC Poltava
0 : 0 Inhulets
29 Aug
UCSA
1 : 2 Inhulets
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0 Inhulets
04 Sept
SC Poltava
0 : 0 Inhulets
29 Aug
UCSA
1 : 2 Inhulets
08 Aug
Oleksandriya
3 : 0 Inhulets
26 Jul
Probiy Horodenka
2 : 2 Inhulets
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)
