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Vorskla Poltava vs Inhulets

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Semotyuk V.
14' Event
Dvorovenko V.
38' Event
Baydal A.

AI Match Summary

Vorskla Poltava in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vorskla Poltava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vorskla Poltava
39%
Draws
30%
Inhulets
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inhulets lately — more wins on the board than Vorskla Poltava.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 16%
Inhulets Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vorskla Poltava Inhulets
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Persha Liga
Vorskla Poltava vs Inhulets
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 Persha Liga
Inhulets vs Vorskla Poltava
3:0
May 23, 2025 Premier League
Inhulets vs Vorskla Poltava
1:1
Nov 29, 2024 Premier League
Vorskla Poltava vs Inhulets
0:3
Apr 7, 2023 Premier League
Vorskla Poltava vs Inhulets
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vorskla Poltava Compare

Top Goalscorer Dvorovenko V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baydal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Inhulets Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vorskla Poltava 31 / 100
Inhulets 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vorskla Poltava Inhulets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inhulets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Vorskla Poltava remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Inhulets registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vorskla Poltava VS Inhulets
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vorskla Poltava

(Home)
30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1
Vorskla Poltava
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0
Vorskla Poltava
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1
Livyi Bereg
Page 1 of 6

Inhulets

(Away)
10 Jul
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Inhulets
08 Jul
Oleksandriya
2 : 1
Inhulets
27 Jun
Kryvbas
1 : 2
Inhulets
01 Jun
Inhulets
1 : 3
Livyi Bereg
23 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2
Inhulets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna30263174:2181
2Ch. Odesa30198344:2065
3Livyi Bereg30196550:2163
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk30165936:2853
5Inhulets301210841:3246
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)309101133:3337
7Metalist Kharkiv301071331:3537
8Probiy Horodenka301061429:3736
9Fenix Mariupol30991231:3236
10Victoria301061437:3836
11UCSA301061430:4036
12Nyva Ternopil308101224:3434
13FC Chernihiv30871530:3631
14Vorskla Poltava30791423:3630
15FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi30491720:4521
16MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya30471916:6119
17Minaj00000:00
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)