Sport Picks
Vorskla Poltava vs Metalist Kharkiv
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 
Match Events
12'
12'
Porokh B.
33'
33'
Bagachanskyi M.
39'
39'
Chibueze P.
AI Match Summary
The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between Vorskla Poltava and Metalist Kharkiv finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Metalist Kharkiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Vorskla Poltava haven't matched Metalist Kharkiv's recent run of results.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Metalist Kharkiv taking it.
- Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 17%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vorskla Poltava | Metalist Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Persha Liga
Vorskla Poltava vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Vorskla Poltava
1:1
Apr 22, 2023 Premier League
Vorskla Poltava vs Metalist Kharkiv
3:2
Oct 15, 2022 Premier League
Metalist Kharkiv vs Vorskla Poltava
3:2
Mar 19, 2016 Premier League
Metalist Kharkiv vs Vorskla Poltava
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vorskla Poltava Compare
Top Goalscorer Dmytruk T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Metalist Kharkiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Porokh B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vorskla Poltava 20 / 100
Metalist Kharkiv 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vorskla Poltava Metalist Kharkiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Metalist Kharkiv conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: Vorskla Poltava stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Vorskla Poltava's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Vorskla Poltava VS Metalist Kharkiv
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Vorskla Poltava
(Home) 30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1 Vorskla Poltava
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 Livyi Bereg
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 Livyi Bereg
18 Apr
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
08 Apr
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
Page 1 of 3
Metalist Kharkiv
(Away) 26 Jul
Kulikiv
2 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
14 Jul
Bukovyna
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
01 Jun
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Metalist Kharkiv
23 May
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 UCSA
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Kulikiv
2 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
14 Jul
Bukovyna
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
01 Jun
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Metalist Kharkiv
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)
