Sport Picks
Vorskla Poltava vs Metalist Kharkiv
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 
Match Events
12'
12'
Porokh B.
33'
33'
Bagachanskyi M.
39'
39'
Chibueze P.
AI Match Summary
The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between Vorskla Poltava and Metalist Kharkiv finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
30%
52%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Metalist Kharkiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vorskla Poltava haven't matched Metalist Kharkiv's recent run of results.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Metalist Kharkiv taking it.
- Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 25%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vorskla Poltava | Metalist Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Persha Liga
Vorskla Poltava vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Vorskla Poltava
1:1
Apr 22, 2023 Premier League
Vorskla Poltava vs Metalist Kharkiv
3:2
Oct 15, 2022 Premier League
Metalist Kharkiv vs Vorskla Poltava
3:2
Mar 19, 2016 Premier League
Metalist Kharkiv vs Vorskla Poltava
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vorskla Poltava Compare
Top Goalscorer Dmytruk T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Metalist Kharkiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Porokh B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vorskla Poltava 21 / 100
Metalist Kharkiv 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vorskla Poltava Metalist Kharkiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Metalist Kharkiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Metalist Kharkiv conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Vorskla Poltava stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Vorskla Poltava's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Vorskla Poltava VS Metalist Kharkiv
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vorskla Poltava
(Home) 30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1 Vorskla Poltava
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 Livyi Bereg
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 Livyi Bereg
18 Apr
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
08 Apr
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
Page 1 of 3
Metalist Kharkiv
(Away) 27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
09 Sept
Victoria
0 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
05 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 1 UCSA
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
09 Sept
Victoria
0 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
23 Aug
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
09 Aug
Zhytomyr 2
0 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)
