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Votuporanguense vs Agua Santa

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Fernandinho
35' Event
Vinicius Baracioli
45' Event
Marcos Nunes

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Votuporanguense and Agua Santa finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Votuporanguense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Votuporanguense
39%
Draws
31%
Agua Santa
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Agua Santa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Paulista A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Votuporanguense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Votuporanguense Clean Sheet 68%
Agua Santa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Votuporanguense Agua Santa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.17 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Paulista A2
Votuporanguense vs Agua Santa
5:1
Mar 18, 2026 Paulista A2
Agua Santa vs Votuporanguense
0:0
Jan 10, 2026 Paulista A2
Votuporanguense vs Agua Santa
1:0
Feb 23, 2019 Paulista A2
Votuporanguense vs Agua Santa
3:1
Mar 6, 2018 Paulista A2
Agua Santa vs Votuporanguense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Votuporanguense Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius Baracioli
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

Agua Santa Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Votuporanguense 41 / 100
Agua Santa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Votuporanguense Agua Santa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Votuporanguense's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Votuporanguense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Agua Santa conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Votuporanguense VS Agua Santa
1.83 Goals Scored 1.25
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.5
83% Over 1.5 63%
83% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Votuporanguense641113:513
2Ituano63127:810
3Piracicaba62226:48
4Agua Santa60242:112
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviaria64029:512
2Juventus-SP64027:412
3Sao Jose EC63039:79
4Sertaozinho61054:133