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Votuporanguense vs Santo Andre

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Luiz Thiago

AI Match Summary

Votuporanguense in this Paulista A2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Votuporanguense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Votuporanguense
20%
Draws
47%
Santo Andre
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santo Andre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Votuporanguense have won more games recently than Santo Andre.
  • Votuporanguense are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Votuporanguense Clean Sheet 68%
Santo Andre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Votuporanguense Santo Andre
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.2 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Paulista A2
Votuporanguense vs Santo Andre
1:0
Jan 29, 2025 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Votuporanguense
1:3
Feb 9, 2019 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Votuporanguense
2:1
Feb 3, 2016 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Votuporanguense
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Votuporanguense Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Thiago
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Santo Andre Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Votuporanguense 77 / 100
Santo Andre 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Votuporanguense Santo Andre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Votuporanguense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Votuporanguense scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Santo Andre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Votuporanguense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Votuporanguense VS Santo Andre
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Votuporanguense

(Home)
28 Apr
Votuporanguense
0 : 0
Juventus-SP
21 Apr
Juventus-SP
2 : 1
Votuporanguense
15 Apr
Ituano
2 : 1
Votuporanguense
08 Apr
Votuporanguense
5 : 1
Agua Santa
28 Mar
Votuporanguense
2 : 1
Piracicaba
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Santo Andre

(Away)
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1
Santo Andre
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0
Santo Andre
02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
Sao Jose EC
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)