Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VPS vs AC Oulu

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
VPS Logo

VPS

5 - 1
FT
AC Oulu Logo

AC Oulu

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Jatta K.
Assist: Mendolin I.
32' Event
Mane L.
Assist: Haukioja M.
36' Event
Turfkruier J.
Assist: Daoussi Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

VPS in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored VPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
VPS
15%
Draws
49%
AC Oulu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AC Oulu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AC Oulu lately — more wins on the board than VPS.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on VPS taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AC Oulu have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
VPS Clean Sheet 20%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VPS AC Oulu
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.21 1.68
Goals Conceded 1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs AC Oulu
5:1
Apr 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs VPS
1:0
Jan 24, 2026 Liiga Cup
VPS vs AC Oulu
1:4
Oct 4, 2025 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs VPS
2:0
Jun 28, 2025 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs VPS
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Mane L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turfkruier J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

AC Oulu Compare

Top Goalscorer Jatta K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VPS 36 / 100
AC Oulu 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VPS AC Oulu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

VPS scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

AC Oulu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

AC Oulu lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VPS VS AC Oulu
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

VPS

(Home)
14 Aug
VPS
1 : 3
TPS
08 Aug
Jaro
1 : 3
VPS
02 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Inter Turku
25 Jul
KuPS
3 : 1
VPS
18 Jul
HJK
2 : 1
VPS
Page 1 of 6

AC Oulu

(Away)
16 Aug
AC Oulu
2 : 3
Inter Turku
09 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 1
HJK
02 Aug
AC Oulu
1 : 0
Ilves
25 Jul
Mariehamn
1 : 1
AC Oulu
18 Jul
AC Oulu
0 : 2
Gnistan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 20 12 7 1 36:18 43
2 Inter Turku 20 10 8 2 28:16 38
3 HJK 20 10 4 6 32:23 34
4 VPS 20 8 6 6 28:21 30
5 AC Oulu 20 9 3 8 24:25 30
6 Gnistan 19 8 5 6 29:24 29
7 TPS 20 8 5 7 27:22 29
8 Lahti 20 7 5 8 23:18 26
9 Ilves 19 7 4 8 31:31 25
10 SJK 20 4 6 10 24:31 18
11 Jaro 20 3 6 11 18:41 15
12 Mariehamn 20 1 5 14 11:41 8
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)