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VPS vs AC Oulu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
VPS Logo

VPS

5 - 1
FT
AC Oulu Logo

AC Oulu

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Jatta K.
Assist: Mendolin I.
32' Event
Mane L.
Assist: Haukioja M.
36' Event
Turfkruier J.
Assist: Daoussi Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

VPS in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored VPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
VPS
15%
Draws
49%
AC Oulu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AC Oulu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VPS lately — more wins on the board than AC Oulu.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on AC Oulu taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
VPS Clean Sheet 24%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VPS AC Oulu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs AC Oulu
1:0
Jun 23, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs AC Oulu
5:1
Apr 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs VPS
1:0
Jan 24, 2026 Liiga Cup
VPS vs AC Oulu
1:4
Oct 4, 2025 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs VPS
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Mane L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turfkruier J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

AC Oulu Compare

Top Goalscorer Jatta K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VPS 21 / 100
AC Oulu 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VPS AC Oulu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Oulu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VPS's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

AC Oulu let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

AC Oulu's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

VPS VS AC Oulu
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

VPS

(Home)
08 Oct
HJK
6 : 0
VPS
19 Sept
VPS
0 : 2
KuPS
14 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
VPS
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Lahti
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AC Oulu

(Away)
08 Oct
KuPS
0 : 1
AC Oulu
18 Sept
AC Oulu
0 : 1
Inter Turku
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 0
SJK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)