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VPS vs Inter Turku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kiiskila E.
29'
Lima P.
32'
Tauriainen J.

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between VPS and Inter Turku finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Turku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
VPS
15%
Draws
65%
Inter Turku
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inter Turku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Inter Turku carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Inter Turku are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Inter Turku have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
VPS Clean Sheet 18%
Inter Turku Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VPS Inter Turku
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 12
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.83 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Inter Turku vs VPS
1:0
Aug 2, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs Inter Turku
0:1
Jun 30, 2026 Suomen Cup
VPS vs Inter Turku
2:3
Apr 4, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Inter Turku vs VPS
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Inter Turku vs VPS
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VPS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Inter Turku Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiiskila E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VPS 10 / 100
Inter Turku 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VPS Inter Turku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Turku Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: VPS scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Inter Turku conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: VPS stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VPS VS Inter Turku
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

VPS

(Home)
08 Oct
HJK
6 : 0
VPS
19 Sept
VPS
0 : 2
KuPS
14 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
VPS
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Lahti
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Inter Turku

(Away)
07 Oct
Gnistan
0 : 0
Inter Turku
18 Sept
AC Oulu
0 : 1
Inter Turku
14 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
VPS
09 Sept
HJK
2 : 1
Inter Turku
05 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
HJK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)