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VPS vs Inter Turku

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kiiskila E.
29'
Lima P.
32'
Tauriainen J.

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between VPS and Inter Turku finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Turku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
VPS
15%
Draws
53%
Inter Turku
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inter Turku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Inter Turku carry the better recent record into this one.
  • VPS are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Inter Turku have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
VPS Clean Sheet 16%
Inter Turku Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VPS Inter Turku
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 2.24 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs Inter Turku
0:1
Jun 30, 2026 Suomen Cup
VPS vs Inter Turku
2:3
Apr 4, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Inter Turku vs VPS
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Inter Turku vs VPS
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs Inter Turku
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VPS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Inter Turku Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiiskila E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VPS 36 / 100
Inter Turku 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VPS Inter Turku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: VPS scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Inter Turku has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: VPS stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VPS VS Inter Turku
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

VPS

(Home)
08 Aug
Jaro
1 : 3
VPS
02 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Inter Turku
25 Jul
KuPS
3 : 1
VPS
18 Jul
HJK
2 : 1
VPS
10 Jul
VPS
1 : 0
SJK
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Inter Turku

(Away)
09 Aug
Inter Turku
0 : 0
Lahti
06 Aug
Inter Turku
2 : 1
Vaduz
02 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Inter Turku
30 Jul
Inter Turku
2 : 0
Basaksehir
26 Jul
Inter Turku
1 : 2
Gnistan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 19 11 7 1 34:17 40
2 Inter Turku 19 9 8 2 25:14 35
3 HJK 19 9 4 6 29:23 31
4 VPS 19 8 6 5 27:18 30
5 AC Oulu 19 9 3 7 22:22 30
6 Gnistan 19 8 5 6 29:24 29
7 Lahti 19 7 5 7 22:16 26
8 TPS 19 7 5 7 24:21 26
9 Ilves 19 7 4 8 31:31 25
10 SJK 19 4 6 9 24:29 18
11 Jaro 19 3 6 10 18:38 15
12 Mariehamn 19 0 5 14 9:41 5
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)